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    基于深度學(xué)習(xí)的箱式烘烤內(nèi)部溫濕度預(yù)測(cè)

    Prediction and Validation of Thermal Environment Based on Deep Learning Algorithm in Box-type Curing

    • 摘要: 為實(shí)時(shí)了解箱式烘烤的箱體內(nèi)部不同區(qū)域溫濕度分布特征,,基于深度學(xué)習(xí)方法,,結(jié)合實(shí)際傳感器監(jiān)測(cè)的箱體內(nèi)外溫濕度數(shù)據(jù),,建立長(zhǎng)短時(shí)記憶(LSTM)網(wǎng)絡(luò)預(yù)測(cè)模型,并對(duì)學(xué)習(xí)速率和神經(jīng)元節(jié)點(diǎn)數(shù)進(jìn)行篩選,,最后采用決定系數(shù)R2,、均方根誤差eRMSE以及平均絕對(duì)誤差百分比eMAPE評(píng)估模型的預(yù)測(cè)性能。結(jié)果表明,,當(dāng)學(xué)習(xí)速率為0.008,、神經(jīng)元節(jié)點(diǎn)數(shù)為500時(shí)模型可達(dá)到較優(yōu)性能;驗(yàn)證結(jié)果表明,,各烘烤時(shí)期箱體內(nèi)上中下層預(yù)測(cè)值與實(shí)測(cè)值變化趨勢(shì)一致,,預(yù)測(cè)值決定系數(shù)均在0.900以上;上中下層溫度與相對(duì)濕度的預(yù)測(cè)值和真實(shí)值最大誤差均出現(xiàn)在烘烤進(jìn)行45 h至75 h之間,,其中箱體中層誤差最大,,溫度最大誤差為1.87 ℃,相對(duì)濕度最大誤差為12.54個(gè)百分點(diǎn),。本研究基于LSTM構(gòu)建的溫濕度預(yù)測(cè)模型能夠較為準(zhǔn)確地展現(xiàn)箱體內(nèi)各層面的溫度及相對(duì)濕度變化,,可為箱式烘烤烤房環(huán)境溫濕度的監(jiān)測(cè)與調(diào)控提供一種方法。

       

      Abstract: In order to provide a method for real-time understanding of the temperature and humidity distribution characteristics in different regions within a box-type flue-cured tobacco production process, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network prediction model was established based on deep learning methods and in combination with historical temperature and humidity data monitored by actual sensors inside and outside the box. The learning rate and the number of neuron nodes were screened, and the model's prediction performance was evaluated using the coefficient of determination R2, root mean square error (eRMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (eMAPE). The results indicated that when the learning rate of the model is 0.008 and the number of neuron nodes is 500, the model can achieve the optimal performance. Through the verification of the prediction results, it was shown that the change trend of the predicted values in the upper, middle and lower parts inside the curing box during each baking period is consistent with the measured values, and the determination coefficients of the predicted values are above 0.900. The maximum error of the predicted value and the true value of the temperature and relative humidity in the upper middle and lower parts of the curing box’s interior appeared between 45 h and 75 h, of which the maximum error of the middle part of the box was the largest, the maximum error of the temperature was 1.87 ℃, and the maximum error of the relative humidity was 12.54 percentage points. The LSTM-based temperature and humidity prediction model proposed in this study can accurately depict the changes in temperature and relative humidity at various levels within the curing box, providing a method for monitoring and controlling the temperature and humidity in the box-type flue-curing barn environment.

       

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